How to build a Sigmoid Fade Curve

  • Author:
    Geoff Robinson
  • Level: 
    Intermediate to advanced
  • Study time:
    5 minutes
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Course overview
In this video, we explore how to build a Sigmoid Fade Curve for use in three-stage valuation models. A fade curve helps model the transition from high short-term returns to a sustainable long-term growth rate. The Sigmoid function offers a smooth, realistic way to capture this gradual fade, avoiding abrupt shifts or linear assumptions.

You’ll learn the logic behind the Sigmoid approach, how to construct the curve in Excel, and how it improves your DCF outputs by better reflecting market realities. Ideal for analysts seeking to sharpen their valuation models with more nuanced, data-driven assumptions.

What's included?

  • 1  video
  • Master the Sigmoid Fade Curve to bring realism and precision to your three-stage valuation models.
  • Insights from a #1 ranked data-driven analyst

Who should watch this playlist? 

This video is ideal for investment analysts, equity researchers, and valuation professionals who use three-stage DCF models. It’s especially valuable for those looking to enhance their modeling precision, better reflect economic reality in long-term assumptions, and improve the credibility of their valuation outputs with more realistic growth transitions.

Why TheInvestmentAnalyst.com?

We are the only training house that is able to bring top-ranked analyst experience into your classroom. We buck the trend. Most training businesses recruit junior ex-bankers to become their trainer. Our instructors cut their teeth teaching and then gain senior experience with investment banks.

We believe, you could not be in better hands.

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Geoff Robinson
FCA FMVA MFM

Thought leader, instructor, writer, financial influencer, Former UBS Managing Director and 8x #1 ranked analysts EMEA Institutional Investor Survey
ABOUT Geoff
Geoff has had a varied career. He was a Managing Director within UBS Equity Research, leading their Global Fundamental Analytics franchise. During this time, he was #1, ranked 9x in the EMEA Institutional Investor Survey. Before UBS, he was a material equity investor and LBO co-investor in two market exited training consultancies. Geoff has a passion for learning and is well-known for his ability to break down complex subject matter and distil it to an audience in a digestible and engaging manner. He brings this passion to TheInvestmentAnalyst.com. 
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