IRR Illusion: The Private Equity Performance Mirage That Retail Investors Must See Through
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Author:
Geoff Robinson -
Level:
Intermediate to advanced -
Study time:
5 minutes
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Course overview
Private equity firms often tout IRRs exceeding 25%, seducing investors with promises of sustained outperformance. But behind these numbers lies a misleading metric. IRR isn’t a true rate of return — it assumes unrealistic reinvestment rates, is path-dependent, and barely budges after early wins.
This video unpacks the mechanics behind the illusion, explains how fund managers game it, and reveals the consequences for capital allocation and investor decision-making. With retail investors increasingly exposed to PE, understanding IRR’s limitations is more important than ever. We explore modest remedies and call for a shift toward transparency and honesty in performance reporting.
This video unpacks the mechanics behind the illusion, explains how fund managers game it, and reveals the consequences for capital allocation and investor decision-making. With retail investors increasingly exposed to PE, understanding IRR’s limitations is more important than ever. We explore modest remedies and call for a shift toward transparency and honesty in performance reporting.
What's included?
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1 video
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IRR isn’t a rate of return — it’s a return to illusion. Investors deserve better.
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Insights from a #1 ranked data-driven analyst
Who should watch this playlist?
This video is a must-read for investment analysts, portfolio managers, and fiduciaries evaluating private equity allocations. It also serves as a critical primer for financial educators, institutional asset allocators, and retail investors being lured into private markets by sky-high return claims. Learn how IRR distorts, deceives — and persists.
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Geoff Robinson
FCA FMVA MFM
Thought leader, instructor, writer, financial influencer, Former UBS Managing Director and 8x #1 ranked analysts EMEA Institutional Investor Survey
ABOUT Geoff
Geoff has had a varied career. He was a Managing Director within UBS Equity Research, leading their Global Fundamental Analytics franchise. During this time, he was #1, ranked 9x in the EMEA Institutional Investor Survey. Before UBS, he was a material equity investor and LBO co-investor in two market exited training consultancies. Geoff has a passion for learning and is well-known for his ability to break down complex subject matter and distil it to an audience in a digestible and engaging manner. He brings this passion to TheInvestmentAnalyst.com.