Volume, Vulnerability, and the Vanishing Margin: What UPS’s 20,000 Job Cuts Reveal About Modern Logistics
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Author:
Geoff Robinson -
Level:
Intermediate to advanced -
Study time:
5 minutes
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Course overview
UPS’s decision to cut 20,000 jobs and exit 50% of its Amazon volume exposes deep fragilities in logistics. This essay explores the dangers of over-reliance on major customers, tariff-induced cost shocks, and the complex valuation and labor risks now facing volume-driven business models.
What's included?
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1 video
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As Amazon pulls back and tariffs surge, UPS reveals the hidden fragility behind even the most scaled logistics models.
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Insights from a #1 ranked data-driven analyst
Who should watch this playlist?
This video is essential for investment analysts, equity researchers, and portfolio managers covering transportation, e-commerce, or global macro. It breaks down UPS’s 2025 job cuts, Amazon volume reduction, and Trump-era tariff risks—delivering key valuation lessons on customer dependence, operating leverage, and supply chain forecasting.
Why TheInvestmentAnalyst.com?
We are the only training house that is able to bring top-ranked analyst experience into your classroom. We buck the trend. Most training businesses recruit junior ex-bankers to become their trainer. Our instructors cut their teeth teaching and then gain senior experience with investment banks.
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Geoff Robinson
FCA FMVA MFM
Thought leader, instructor, writer, financial influencer, Former UBS Managing Director and 8x #1 ranked analysts EMEA Institutional Investor Survey
ABOUT Geoff
Geoff has had a varied career. He was a Managing Director within UBS Equity Research, leading their Global Fundamental Analytics franchise. During this time, he was #1, ranked 9x in the EMEA Institutional Investor Survey. Before UBS, he was a material equity investor and LBO co-investor in two market exited training consultancies. Geoff has a passion for learning and is well-known for his ability to break down complex subject matter and distil it to an audience in a digestible and engaging manner. He brings this passion to TheInvestmentAnalyst.com.