What is an Outside View and Why Should Analysts Have One?

  • Author:
    Geoff Robinson
  • Level: 
    Intermediate to advanced
  • Study time:
    5 minutes
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Course overview
The outside view improves investment analysis by examining how similar situations have historically played out rather than focusing solely on case-specific details. By considering base rates - the frequency of different outcomes in comparable situations - analysts can better calibrate their forecasts and counter the natural tendency toward overconfidence in company-specific analysis.

Available as part of our Premium Plus subscription tiers.

What's included?

  • 1  video
  • Break free from the case-study trap: why looking at historical patterns leads to better investment forecasts.
  • Insights from a #1 ranked data-driven analyst

Who should watch this playlist? 

This content is most valuable for investment professionals who regularly make forecasts about business outcomes. While the core concepts could benefit anyone making predictions, the technical discussion of statistical patterns, correlation coefficients, and reference class forecasting makes it most suitable for experienced analysts and portfolio managers with formal financial training.

Why TheInvestmentAnalyst.com?

We are the only training house that is able to bring top-ranked analyst experience into your classroom. We buck the trend. Most training businesses recruit junior ex-bankers to become their trainer. Our instructors cut their teeth teaching and then gain senior experience with investment banks.

We believe, you could not be in better hands.

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Geoff Robinson
FCA FMVA MFM

Thought leader, instructor, writer, financial influencer, Former UBS Managing Director and 8x #1 ranked analysts EMEA Institutional Investor Survey
ABOUT Geoff
Geoff has had a varied career. He was a Managing Director within UBS Equity Research, leading their Global Fundamental Analytics franchise. During this time, he was #1, ranked 9x in the EMEA Institutional Investor Survey. Before UBS, he was a material equity investor and LBO co-investor in two market exited training consultancies. Geoff has a passion for learning and is well-known for his ability to break down complex subject matter and distil it to an audience in a digestible and engaging manner. He brings this passion to TheInvestmentAnalyst.com. 
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